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The Dead Sea Future Elevation Based on Water and Salt Mass Balances

Author:
  • Raed Bashitialshaaer
  • Kenneth M Persson
  • Mohammad Aljaradin
Editor:
  • Markus Aufleger
  • Michael Mett
Publishing year: 2011
Language: English
Pages: 163-189
Publication/Series: Handshacke across the Jordan : water and understanding
Volume: 10
Document type: Book chapter
Publisher: Innsbruck University Press

Abstract english

Water and salt mass balances for the Dead Sea were modeled. Precipitation, evaporation, river discharges, ground water flows, input/output from potash companies and salt production, and brine discharge were included in the models. The mixing time in the Dead Sea was modeled using a single-layer (well-mixed) a two-layer (stratified) system.

Using the single-layer approach the water level was predicted to change from 411 m below mean sea level (bmsl) (in 1997) to 391 m and 479 m bmsl (in 2097) based on water mass balances including and excluding brine discharge, respectively, and to reach 402 m and 444 m for the two cases based on a salt mass balance. In the two-layer approach the water level after 100 years was predicted to change from 411 m bmsl (1997) to 397 m and 488 m for a water mass balance including and excluding brine discharge, respectively, and to reach 387 m and 425 m for the two cases using a salt mass balance.

The water mixing time using the single-layer description increased from 58 to 116 years when excluding brine discharge. Using the two-layer approach the exchange or mixing time increased in both layers, when adding brine discharge to the system, from 1.2 to 1.7 years and 11 to 15.3 years in the upper and lower layers, respectively. Good agreement was found between the models and historical data.

Keywords

  • Other Social Sciences
  • Water Engineering
  • Mixing time
  • Historical comparison
  • Single and Two-Layer system
  • Red Sea-Dead Sea Canal (RSDSC)
  • Water-Salt balance
  • Dead Sea water level

Other

Published
  • ISBN: 978-3-902719-49-2
Raed
E-mail: raed [dot] bashitialshaaer [at] cme [dot] lu [dot] se

Visiting research fellow

Centre for Middle Eastern Studies

HS18

Center for Middle Eastern Studies
Lund University
Box 201, SE-221 00 Lund, Sweden
Visiting adress: Finngatan 16
Phone: +46 (0)46 222 00 00 (pbx)
maria [dot] lofstedt [at] cme [dot] lu [dot] se